Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Trading Up 29% – Time to Buy?

Shares of Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) traded up 29% on Tuesday . The stock traded as high as $14.55 and last traded at $14.1350. 94,543,197 shares changed hands during trading, an increase of 180% from the average session volume of 33,793,996 shares. The stock had previously closed at $10.96.

Key Stories Impacting Redwire

Here are the key news stories impacting Redwire this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Redwire was selected to the Missile Defense Agency’s $151 billion SHIELD IDIQ, making it eligible for follow-on task orders to support homeland/missile defense work — a clear new addressable market and potential multi-year revenue opportunity. Redwire Selected for Missile Defense Agency’s SHIELD IDIQ
• Positive Sentiment: Market reaction: multiple outlets report a sharp intraday rally and heavy trading after the announcement, indicating strong short-term buying interest and renewed investor attention to RDW’s defense pipeline. Redwire Stock Soars On Missile Defense Agency Contract Award
• Neutral Sentiment: The SHIELD IDIQ is a very large, multi-vendor vehicle (thousands of eligible suppliers); inclusion gives Redwire a seat at the table but does not assure material awards — future task-order wins and timelines remain the key execution risk. Redwire Stock Pops — One Step Closer to a Big Missile Defense Contract
• Neutral Sentiment: The program is tied in media coverage to a high-profile presidential initiative (referred to as the “Golden Dome” missile defense push), which could accelerate funding or add political scrutiny — a mixed catalyst for long-term visibility. Space firm Redwire stock rockets after joining $151B contract for Trump’s ‘Golden Dome’
• Negative Sentiment: Fundamentals remain challenged: recent quarterly results missed revenue and EPS estimates, the company posts negative margins and analysts hold a consensus “Hold” — meaning upside depends on translating program eligibility into paid orders and improved profitability. Redwire Given Consensus Rating of “Hold”
• Negative Sentiment: Volatility and profit-taking: the stock had recent sharp moves both up and down (investors booked gains after a five‑month high), so momentum could reverse if contract awards or financial guidance don’t materialize. Redwire Loses 12.5% After 5-Month High

Analyst Ratings Changes

Several analysts recently issued reports on the company. Bank of America cut their target price on Redwire from $9.00 to $6.00 and set an “underperform” rating on the stock in a research note on Wednesday, November 19th. Roth Mkm reiterated a “buy” rating and set a $15.00 target price on shares of Redwire in a report on Thursday, November 6th. Canaccord Genuity Group cut their price objective on shares of Redwire from $17.50 to $11.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday, November 12th. KeyCorp assumed coverage on Redwire in a report on Thursday, December 18th. They set a “sector weight” rating on the stock. Finally, Cantor Fitzgerald reduced their price objective on Redwire from $20.00 to $9.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a report on Wednesday, December 10th. Six research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, three have assigned a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $13.13.

Redwire Stock Up 29.0%

The company has a fifty day simple moving average of $8.02 and a 200-day simple moving average of $9.31. The company has a quick ratio of 1.05, a current ratio of 1.41 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20. The firm has a market cap of $2.33 billion, a P/E ratio of -4.46 and a beta of 2.44.

Redwire (NYSE:RDW) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, November 5th. The company reported ($0.29) earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.14) by ($0.15). The company had revenue of $103.43 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $132.05 million. Redwire had a negative net margin of 70.32% and a negative return on equity of 16.24%. On average, equities analysts anticipate that Redwire Corporation will post -0.85 earnings per share for the current year.

Insider Buying and Selling

In other Redwire news, Director Ae Red Holdings, Llc sold 12,656,683 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, January 14th. The stock was sold at an average price of $10.51, for a total transaction of $133,021,738.33. Following the sale, the director directly owned 61,541,253 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $646,798,569.03. The trade was a 17.06% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this link. Also, CAO Chris Edmunds acquired 5,500 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Friday, November 14th. The stock was bought at an average cost of $5.46 per share, with a total value of $30,030.00. Following the completion of the purchase, the chief accounting officer directly owned 107,441 shares in the company, valued at approximately $586,627.86. The trade was a 5.40% increase in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this purchase are available in the official SEC disclosure. In the last three months, insiders have purchased 56,065 shares of company stock worth $330,047 and have sold 23,953,093 shares worth $252,001,857. Corporate insiders own 2.60% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the company. AQR Capital Management LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Redwire by 125.0% in the 1st quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 51,437 shares of the company’s stock worth $426,000 after acquiring an additional 28,576 shares during the last quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lifted its stake in Redwire by 352.8% in the first quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. now owns 355,265 shares of the company’s stock worth $2,945,000 after purchasing an additional 276,814 shares during the last quarter. Strs Ohio bought a new position in shares of Redwire during the first quarter valued at approximately $69,000. Ameritas Advisory Services LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Redwire in the second quarter worth approximately $54,000. Finally, Tcfg Wealth Management LLC lifted its stake in shares of Redwire by 25.9% during the 2nd quarter. Tcfg Wealth Management LLC now owns 25,265 shares of the company’s stock worth $412,000 after acquiring an additional 5,200 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 8.10% of the company’s stock.

About Redwire

Redwire Corporation is a space infrastructure company specializing in the design, engineering and manufacturing of mission-critical hardware and software for the spaceflight industry. The company’s offerings include deployable structures, solar power systems, radio frequency antennas, advanced composites and transparent optics. Redwire serves a broad customer base that spans civil space agencies, national defense organizations and commercial satellite operators, helping enable missions ranging from communications and Earth observation to deep-space exploration.

Formed through the strategic combination of several specialized space technology firms, Redwire’s portfolio encompasses both flight-proven hardware and cutting-edge in-space manufacturing capabilities.